DDP IMAGINE

Notes: these Scenarios are designed to evaluate the energy-environmental-economic impacts of a Natural Gas Strategy (for which Argentina has huge reserves) and more ambitious DDP strategies based on a differential cooperation world.

1. Sce I BAU/CPS. At the national level, this Scenario includes ongoing actions in the energy sector, a Current Policies Scenario. It proposes the historical trajectory of natural gas (NG) production and projected exports, mainly through regional pipelines and one already projected liquefaction plant for LNG exports.
2. Sce II: Natural Gas Exports. This is a Scenario in which Natural Gas, especially Non-Conventional Natural Gas plays a key role in the medium term. There is an increase in the exploitation of non-conventional Natural Gas fields, mainly for export purposes, and its rents are used to finance the Energy Transition in the medium / long term. Natural Gas domestic consumption decreases to the end of the period. The decarbonization ambition of this Scenario is a bit higher than the BAU Scenario, particularly in the power sector, but this is not yet a Paris compatible Scenario.
3. Sce III: Natural Gas reduction without international cooperation. This Scenario is built in a context of reduced international cooperation and technology transfer and also with high environmental commitments.
   The decarbonization ambition of this Scenario is higher, in terms of the speed of fossil fuels phase out (specially NG) in power generation and final consumption sectors. The natural gas exports reduce in the short term (opposite to Scenario 2), and so do the rents to finance the energy transition. No additional international support is simulated.
4. Sce IV: Energy Green Exports Scenario. This Scenario is an ambitious decarbonization scenario built in an international cooperation context. We evaluate the production and export of green products, mainly Green Ammonia. International cooperation is simulated by a reduction in the discount rate used for the evaluation of the energy investments. Regarding decarbonization measures, this scenario includes fuel substitution in end-use sectors and power sector (specially wind and solar). For instance: a reduction in the consumption of petroleum derivatives and natural gas consumption, a strong increase in electrification and in the use of biomass, increase in the use of biomass and waste in industry, strong energy efficiency actions, electricity penetration in transport policies.