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This 2024 report analyzes detailed scenarios from ten countries collectively representing nearly half of the world’s population and a significant portion of global emissions: Argentina, Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Nigeria, Senegal, South Africa, and the United States, based on in-country perspectives from local experts. The report’s deep decarbonization scenarios showcase a variety of pathways to achieve carbon neutrality while maintaining economic growth and improving social well-being
National pathways to net zero require short-term measures to prevent development delays, with a focus on supporting disadvantaged and vulnerable populations during the transition. These measures, which must be tailored to the unique contexts of each country, can be macroeconomic or sectoral in nature, possibly involving international cooperation
National pathways to net zero entail structural changes in economic and industrial systems. Turning these transformational challenges into opportunities for development requires determined country-specific action at the national level but also a proactive search for partnerships and international cooperation
Immediate CO2 emission reductions are primarily achieved through improvements in power generation, passenger transport and land use in national pathways to net zero. Technical solutions already exist in these sectors and the policies needed to accelerate their deployment are often well identified in each country
Measures designed to address CO2 emissions are not sufficient to reduce non-CO2 emissions from agriculture in national pathways to net zero. Targeted actions on non-CO2 gases require a country-driven approach to the transformation of the agriculture sector
Measures designed to address CO2 emissions are not sufficient to reduce non-CO2 emissions from agriculture in national pathways to net zero. Targeted actions on non-CO2 gases require a country-driven approach to the transformation of the agriculture sector
The land use sector is instrumental in national pathways to net zero, serving as a key provider of carbon sinks up until and beyond 2050. Country-specific approaches are needed to ensure that mitigation compatible with the sector’s other core functions
Due to constraints on its potential and challenges affecting the deployment timelines, Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) will make a limited contribution to cumulative emissions reductions by 2050 across all national pathways to net zero. In some countries, it may be able to serve as a supplementary mitigation strategy around the mid-century to achieve carbon neutrality.
National pathways to net zero necessitate a relentless decrease in the direct use of fossil fuels by the mid-century, aligning with domestic socio-economic priorities. These trends particularly require country-driven shifts in infrastructure and organizations to reduce energy needs for development objectives.
As a member of the IKI-LTS Project consortium, the DDP initiative participated in the international convening ‘2050 is Now’: Aligning Climate Action with Long-Term Climate and Development Goals in Jakarta, Indonesia.

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