Visualise {country} pathways for {sector}
This page allow to display decarbonization pathways for the severall sectors in Brazil, Indonesia, India and South Africa.
Which sector and country pathways would you like to explore ?
Develop your storyline
Each category of drivers includes between two and four questions.
Each subcategory is composed of “one question” in bold black, “A text of information on the 2010’s situation” in italic grey and two or three “modes of answers”.
For each question, you can choose one of these answers:
A “direct assumption” with a proposed reference value based on a pre-defined pathway
A “direct assumption” with an open choice for the value
“Other underlying assumptions” with the opportunity of an indirect answer.
A reference pathway is used to provide default values for each first answers and it corresponds to the values of one pathway defined with national experts during the development of a case study.
You can answer this question by using model inputs or outputs, international or national benchmarks or expert-based analysis and discussions.
If you do not validate all sections, the default values corresponding to the first answers of each question will be used to compute the graph representations.
If you validate a section and conserve all its pre-defined answers, the “red light” turns into “grey light” .
If you validate a section and modify at least one of the pre-defined answers of the section,the “red light” turns into “green light” .
Look at all your assumptions and answers summarised in a “Full Story” under the different categories of drivers.
Check some quantitative indicators representing your pathway summarized by the limited number of graphs at the end.
You can choose to display another scenario data set while building your scenario.
Read more on the online-modelling constraints: technical notes
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1. Macrostructure: the production, consumption, and exchange of goods
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Population and economy
What will be the population, household size and GDP per capita of your country in 2050?
In 2010, France had a total population of about
64.6 million citizens. The average household was composed of2.23 people.The GDP per capita was about
30876 euros.
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Population and economy
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Production and consumption system
How will a low-carbon society impact the volume of transported tonnes?
The transformation of production and consumption patterns towards a low-carbon society impacts the volume of transported tonnes.
The development of trends such as the shared economy, minimalist lifestyles and repair services are likely to change consumer behaviour and the use of goods. Conversely, business-as-usual practices could lead to ever-increasing and unsustainable individual consumption.
Certain practices could reduce the volume of transported goods, in contrast to an ever-growing globalization, for example: in the agri-food sector, practices such as biodiversity and crop protection and the removal of chemical inputs; in the energy sector, fossil-fuel phase-out and energy efficiency measures; in the construction sector, the development of alternative materials; and in the manufacturing sector, the development of industrial ecology and the circular economy.
How will regulations and trade patterns impact distances travelled?
Patterns of intra and extra-European trade regulations and exchanges could impact the organization of economic activities and supply chains, and transport distances in 2050.
The signature or reinforcement of free trade agreements could foster long distance trade. Conversely, relocation policies, import taxes, or incentives towards local consumption would lead to a decrease in the distances travelled by goods.