Pathway building tool
This website hosts a pathway building tool based on the DDP Approach that allows to articulate physical and socio-economic transformations to develop new decarbonisation pathways.
You will need from one to a few hours to develop your first pathway, depending on your expertise and knowledge.
Starting from the development of your storyline, throughout eight categories of transformations, you can then visualize your pathway in six graphic categories. At this stage, you can compare your scenario with another one, validate and save its different elements (story, computation, dashboard and graphs) or go back to correct your storyline.
Here is a beta version to build pathways for the freight transport sector in France.
Let’s try it!Beta version
In which country would you like to build a freight transport decarbonization pathways?
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Develop your storyline(Click on section labels to build your pathway)
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1. Macrostructure: the production, consumption, and exchange of goods
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Population and economy
What will be the population, household size and GDP per capita of your country in 2050?
In 2010, France had a total population of about
64.6 million citizens. The average household was composed of2.23 people.The GDP per capita was about
30876 euros.
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Population and economy
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Production and consumption system
How will a low-carbon society impact the volume of transported tonnes?
The transformation of production and consumption patterns towards a low-carbon society impacts the volume of transported tonnes.
The development of trends such as the shared economy, minimalist lifestyles and repair services are likely to change consumer behaviour and the use of goods. Conversely, business-as-usual practices could lead to ever-increasing and unsustainable individual consumption.
Certain practices could reduce the volume of transported goods, in contrast to an ever-growing globalization, for example: in the agri-food sector, practices such as biodiversity and crop protection and the removal of chemical inputs; in the energy sector, fossil-fuel phase-out and energy efficiency measures; in the construction sector, the development of alternative materials; and in the manufacturing sector, the development of industrial ecology and the circular economy.
How will regulations and trade patterns impact distances travelled?
Patterns of intra and extra-European trade regulations and exchanges could impact the organization of economic activities and supply chains, and transport distances in 2050.
The signature or reinforcement of free trade agreements could foster long distance trade. Conversely, relocation policies, import taxes, or incentives towards local consumption would lead to a decrease in the distances travelled by goods.
Please, feed each sub-section above and explain us your choices below (ideally with sentences, as shown in the text example)
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Development of transport infrastructure and usage conditions
How will infrastructure, congestion and modal regulations impact speed and cost?
Transport infrastructure investment, congestion regulations and other modal regulations have an impact on average modal speed and access costs.
Improving the quality of infrastructure and the efficiency of traffic regulation laws would increase the circulation speeds of road, rail, and inland waterways vehicles. Infrastructure access cost is another driver that influences modal choice as it directly impacts total modal cost and also the competition between different modes.
Note: this section focuses only on “heavy” transport. Rail and river transport mainly compete with articulated HGVs (Heavy Goods Vehicles >34t). The latter represented about 90% of road Gtkm in 2010. The transformation of the road fleet in urban areas is addressed in the next section.
How will multimodal logistics platforms impact transshipment time and cost?
The development of multimodal logistics platforms integrated into urban planning and traffic flow analysis could enable the development of intermodal services and impact on transshipment time and cost.
Please, feed each sub-section above and explain us your choices below (ideally with sentences, as shown in the text example)
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Road vehicles for urban deliveries
How will urban access rules and planning strategies impact road vehicles?
Transformation of urban access rules, urban planning strategies, traffic congestion situations and consumer behaviour will impact the choice of road transport vehicles.
How will load factors and empty running change?
The transformations of production and consumption patterns, digital innovations and delivery regulations will have an impact on load factor and the empty running of vehicles. These factors are influenced by the type of transported goods and route travelled, as well as time constraints driven by consumer behaviour or industrial organization (“just in time” delivery, stock management). Indeed, a continuation of the trend for “just in time” deliveries, aiming to reduce stocks, will address variations in demand or provide rapid consumer satisfaction, will maintain pressure on entire supply chains, influencing modal choices, vehicle fill rates and the proportion of empty running. Changes in delivery rules and regulations, imposing minimal delivery times on specific goods and complete transparency on delivery costs – often promoted as being free or included –, and shifts in behaviours through awareness-raising campaigns, could reduce this pressure.